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001 978-1-4419-9416-5
003 DE-He213
005 20140220083729.0
007 cr nn 008mamaa
008 110526s2011 xxu| s |||| 0|eng d
020 _a9781441994165
_9978-1-4419-9416-5
024 7 _a10.1007/978-1-4419-9416-5
_2doi
050 4 _aGE300-350
072 7 _aRNF
_2bicssc
072 7 _aTEC010000
_2bisacsh
082 0 4 _a333.7
_223
100 1 _aBardi, Ugo.
_eauthor.
245 1 4 _aThe Limits to Growth Revisited
_h[electronic resource] /
_cby Ugo Bardi.
264 1 _aNew York, NY :
_bSpringer New York,
_c2011.
300 _aXIII, 119p. 22 illus., 6 illus. in color.
_bonline resource.
336 _atext
_btxt
_2rdacontent
337 _acomputer
_bc
_2rdamedia
338 _aonline resource
_bcr
_2rdacarrier
347 _atext file
_bPDF
_2rda
490 1 _aSpringerBriefs in Energy,
_x2191-5520
505 0 _aForeword -- 1. Introduction -- 2. The story of “The Limits to Growth” -- 3. Of models and simulations -- 4. System dynamics modeling -- 5. Modeling the real world: whaling in 19th century -- 6. World modeling by system dynamics -- 7.  Criticism to “The Limits to Growth” -- 8. Mineral Resources as Limits to Growth -- 9. Technological Progress and Limits to Growth -- 10. The Political Debate -- 11. The Return of World Modeling -- 12. Conclusion: the challenges ahead -- 13. About the author -- 14. Acknowledgements.
520 _a“The Limits to Growth” (Meadows, 1972) generated unprecedented controversy with its predictions of the eventual collapse of the world's economies. First hailed as a great advance in science, “The Limits to Growth” was subsequently rejected and demonized. However, with many national economies now at risk and global peak oil apparently a reality, the methods, scenarios, and predictions of “The Limits to Growth” are in great need of reappraisal. In The Limits to Growth Revisited, Ugo Bardi examines both the science and the polemics surrounding this work, and in particular the reactions of economists that marginalized its methods and conclusions for more than 30 years. “The Limits to Growth” was a milestone in attempts to model the future of our society, and it is vital today for both scientists and policy makers to understand its scientific basis, current relevance, and the social and political mechanisms that led to its rejection. Bardi also addresses the all-important question of whether the methods and approaches of “The Limits to Growth” can contribute  to an understanding of what happened to the global economy in the Great Recession and where we are headed from there. Shows how “The Limits to Growth” is a subject more relevant today than when the book was first published Demonstrates how scenario-building using system dynamics models or other methods is an essential tool in understanding possible futures Examines the factors that may lead to the rejection of good science when the conclusions are unpleasant Separates the reality that the future can never be predicted with certainty from the need to prepare for it
650 0 _aEnvironmental sciences.
650 0 _aComputer simulation.
650 0 _aEngineering economy.
650 0 _aEnvironmental management.
650 0 _aEnvironmental economics.
650 1 4 _aEnvironment.
650 2 4 _aEnvironmental Management.
650 2 4 _aEnvironmental Economics.
650 2 4 _aSimulation and Modeling.
650 2 4 _aEnergy Policy, Economics and Management.
650 2 4 _aEnergy Economics.
650 2 4 _aStatistical Physics, Dynamical Systems and Complexity.
710 2 _aSpringerLink (Online service)
773 0 _tSpringer eBooks
776 0 8 _iPrinted edition:
_z9781441994158
830 0 _aSpringerBriefs in Energy,
_x2191-5520
856 4 0 _uhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4419-9416-5
912 _aZDB-2-EES
999 _c106044
_d106044