000 03214nam a22005055i 4500
001 978-3-642-22884-1
003 DE-He213
005 20140220083300.0
007 cr nn 008mamaa
008 120130s2012 gw | s |||| 0|eng d
020 _a9783642228841
_9978-3-642-22884-1
024 7 _a10.1007/978-3-642-22884-1
_2doi
050 4 _aHD30.23
072 7 _aKJT
_2bicssc
072 7 _aKJMD
_2bicssc
072 7 _aBUS049000
_2bisacsh
082 0 4 _a658.40301
_223
100 1 _aErmoliev, Yuri.
_eeditor.
245 1 0 _aManaging Safety of Heterogeneous Systems
_h[electronic resource] :
_bDecisions under Uncertainties and Risks /
_cedited by Yuri Ermoliev, Marek Makowski, Kurt Marti.
264 1 _aBerlin, Heidelberg :
_bSpringer Berlin Heidelberg,
_c2012.
300 _aXXIII, 378p. 78 illus.
_bonline resource.
336 _atext
_btxt
_2rdacontent
337 _acomputer
_bc
_2rdamedia
338 _aonline resource
_bcr
_2rdacarrier
347 _atext file
_bPDF
_2rda
490 1 _aLecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems,
_x0075-8442 ;
_v658
520 _aManaging safety of diverse systems requires decision-making under uncertainties and risks. Such systems are typically characterized by spatio-temporal heterogeneities, inter-dependencies, externalities, endogenous risks, discontinuities, irreversibility, practically irreducible uncertainties, and rare events with catastrophic consequences. Traditional scientific approaches rely on data from real observations and experiments; yet no sufficient observations exist for new problems, and experiments are usually impossible. Therefore, science-based support for addressing such new class of problems needs to replace the traditional “deterministic predictions” analysis by new methods and tools for designing decisions that are robust against the involved uncertainties and risks. The new methods treat uncertainties explicitly by using “synthetic” information derived by integration of “hard” elements, including available data, results of possible experiments, and formal representations of scientific facts, with “soft” elements based on diverse representations of scenarios and opinions of public, stakeholders, and experts. The volume presents such effective new methods, and illustrates their applications in different problem areas, including engineering, economy, finance, agriculture, environment, and policy making.
650 0 _aEconomics.
650 0 _aMathematical statistics.
650 0 _aSystem safety.
650 1 4 _aEconomics/Management Science.
650 2 4 _aOperations Research/Decision Theory.
650 2 4 _aOperations Research, Management Science.
650 2 4 _aQuality Control, Reliability, Safety and Risk.
650 2 4 _aStatistical Theory and Methods.
700 1 _aMakowski, Marek.
_eeditor.
700 1 _aMarti, Kurt.
_eeditor.
710 2 _aSpringerLink (Online service)
773 0 _tSpringer eBooks
776 0 8 _iPrinted edition:
_z9783642228834
830 0 _aLecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems,
_x0075-8442 ;
_v658
856 4 0 _uhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-22884-1
912 _aZDB-2-SBE
999 _c102097
_d102097