Long-Range Dependence and Sea Level Forecasting (Record no. 96547)
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| 000 -LEADER | |
|---|---|
| fixed length control field | 03419nam a22004935i 4500 |
| 001 - CONTROL NUMBER | |
| control field | 978-3-319-01505-7 |
| 003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER | |
| control field | DE-He213 |
| 005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION | |
| control field | 20140220082840.0 |
| 007 - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION FIXED FIELD--GENERAL INFORMATION | |
| fixed length control field | cr nn 008mamaa |
| 008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION | |
| fixed length control field | 130829s2013 gw | s |||| 0|eng d |
| 020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER | |
| International Standard Book Number | 9783319015057 |
| -- | 978-3-319-01505-7 |
| 024 7# - OTHER STANDARD IDENTIFIER | |
| Standard number or code | 10.1007/978-3-319-01505-7 |
| Source of number or code | doi |
| 050 #4 - LIBRARY OF CONGRESS CALL NUMBER | |
| Classification number | QA276-280 |
| 072 #7 - SUBJECT CATEGORY CODE | |
| Subject category code | PBT |
| Source | bicssc |
| 072 #7 - SUBJECT CATEGORY CODE | |
| Subject category code | PD |
| Source | bicssc |
| 072 #7 - SUBJECT CATEGORY CODE | |
| Subject category code | MAT029000 |
| Source | bisacsh |
| 082 04 - DEWEY DECIMAL CLASSIFICATION NUMBER | |
| Classification number | 519.5 |
| Edition number | 23 |
| 100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | Ercan, Ali. |
| Relator term | author. |
| 245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT | |
| Title | Long-Range Dependence and Sea Level Forecasting |
| Medium | [electronic resource] / |
| Statement of responsibility, etc | by Ali Ercan, M. Levent Kavvas, Rovshan K. Abbasov. |
| 264 #1 - | |
| -- | Cham : |
| -- | Springer International Publishing : |
| -- | Imprint: Springer, |
| -- | 2013. |
| 300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION | |
| Extent | V, 51 p. 21 illus., 6 illus. in color. |
| Other physical details | online resource. |
| 336 ## - | |
| -- | text |
| -- | txt |
| -- | rdacontent |
| 337 ## - | |
| -- | computer |
| -- | c |
| -- | rdamedia |
| 338 ## - | |
| -- | online resource |
| -- | cr |
| -- | rdacarrier |
| 347 ## - | |
| -- | text file |
| -- | |
| -- | rda |
| 490 1# - SERIES STATEMENT | |
| Series statement | SpringerBriefs in Statistics, |
| International Standard Serial Number | 2191-544X |
| 505 0# - FORMATTED CONTENTS NOTE | |
| Formatted contents note | 1. Introduction -- 2. Long-Range Dependence and ARFIMA Models -- 3. Forecasting, Confidence Band Estimation and Updating -- 4.Case Study I: Caspian Sea Level -- 5.Case Study II: Sea Level Change at Peninsular Malaysia and Sabah-Sarawak -- 6. Summary and Conclusions -- 7. References. |
| 520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC. | |
| Summary, etc | This study shows that the Caspian Sea level time series possess long range dependence even after removing linear trends, based on analyses of the Hurst statistic, the sample autocorrelation functions, and the periodogram of the series. Forecasting performance of ARMA, ARIMA, ARFIMA and Trend Line-ARFIMA (TL-ARFIMA) combination models are investigated. The forecast confidence bands and the forecast updating methodology, provided for ARIMA models in the literature, are modified for the ARFIMA models. Sample autocorrelation functions are utilized to estimate the differencing lengths of the ARFIMA models. The confidence bands of the forecasts are estimated using the probability densities of the residuals without assuming a known distribution. There are no long-term sea level records for the region of Peninsular Malaysia and Malaysia’s Sabah-Sarawak northern region of Borneo Island. In such cases the Global Climate Model (GCM) projections for the 21st century can be downscaled to the Malaysia region by means of regression techniques, utilizing the short records of satellite altimeters in this region against the GCM projections during a mutual observation period. This book will be useful for engineers and researchers working in the areas of applied statistics, climate change, sea level change, time series analysis, applied earth sciences, and nonlinear dynamics. |
| 650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Statistics. |
| 650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Climatic changes. |
| 650 14 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Statistics. |
| 650 24 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Statistics for Engineering, Physics, Computer Science, Chemistry and Earth Sciences. |
| 650 24 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Statistical Physics, Dynamical Systems and Complexity. |
| 650 24 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Climate Change. |
| 700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | Kavvas, M. Levent. |
| Relator term | author. |
| 700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | Abbasov, Rovshan K. |
| Relator term | author. |
| 710 2# - ADDED ENTRY--CORPORATE NAME | |
| Corporate name or jurisdiction name as entry element | SpringerLink (Online service) |
| 773 0# - HOST ITEM ENTRY | |
| Title | Springer eBooks |
| 776 08 - ADDITIONAL PHYSICAL FORM ENTRY | |
| Display text | Printed edition: |
| International Standard Book Number | 9783319015040 |
| 830 #0 - SERIES ADDED ENTRY--UNIFORM TITLE | |
| Uniform title | SpringerBriefs in Statistics, |
| -- | 2191-544X |
| 856 40 - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS | |
| Uniform Resource Identifier | http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-01505-7 |
| 912 ## - | |
| -- | ZDB-2-SMA |
No items available.