Modelling Potential Malaria Spread in Germany by Use of Climate Change Projections (Record no. 93032)

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001 - CONTROL NUMBER
control field 978-3-319-03823-0
003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER
control field DE-He213
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
control field 20140220082514.0
007 - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION FIXED FIELD--GENERAL INFORMATION
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020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER
International Standard Book Number 9783319038230
-- 978-3-319-03823-0
024 7# - OTHER STANDARD IDENTIFIER
Standard number or code 10.1007/978-3-319-03823-0
Source of number or code doi
050 #4 - LIBRARY OF CONGRESS CALL NUMBER
Classification number QC902.8-903.2
072 #7 - SUBJECT CATEGORY CODE
Subject category code RNPG
Source bicssc
072 #7 - SUBJECT CATEGORY CODE
Subject category code SCI026000
Source bisacsh
072 #7 - SUBJECT CATEGORY CODE
Subject category code SCI042000
Source bisacsh
082 04 - DEWEY DECIMAL CLASSIFICATION NUMBER
Classification number 577.27
Edition number 23
100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Schröder, Winfried.
Relator term author.
245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Modelling Potential Malaria Spread in Germany by Use of Climate Change Projections
Medium [electronic resource] :
Remainder of title A Risk Assessment Approach Coupling Epidemiologic and Geostatistical Measures /
Statement of responsibility, etc by Winfried Schröder, Gunther Schmidt.
264 #1 -
-- Cham :
-- Springer International Publishing :
-- Imprint: Springer,
-- 2014.
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Extent VIII, 58 p. 18 illus., 15 illus. in color.
Other physical details online resource.
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-- computer
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-- online resource
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490 1# - SERIES STATEMENT
Series statement SpringerBriefs in Environmental Science,
International Standard Serial Number 2191-5547
505 0# - FORMATTED CONTENTS NOTE
Formatted contents note 1. Background and Goals -- 2. Case Study 1: Modelling Potential Transmission Gates of Malaria Tertiana in Lower Saxony -- 3. Case Study 2: Modelling Potential Transmission Gates of Malaria Tertiana in Germany -- 4. Conclusions and Outlook.
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc One of the most troubling and dangerous effects of climate warming is the potential for new outbreaks of vector-borne diseases – in humans as well as livestock – that had previously been eradicated, or at least effectively suppressed. One such threat is malaria. Although it is often believed to be restricted to the tropics and developing countries, climate change could bring malaria back to Europe, especially into countries where it was present until the middle of the last century, such as Germany, where Tertian malaria or vivax malaria, a rather severe form of malaria, was prevalent in north-western parts of the country until the 1950s, when it was eradicated. The vector itself, the mosquito (Anopheles atroparvus), is still present, and infected people from malarial regions could introduce a new onset of malaria. This book investigates the spatial distribution of potential temperature-driven malaria transmissions, using the basic reproduction rate (R0) to model the reproduction of the malaria pathogen Plasmodium vivax. The authors mapped areas at risk of an outbreak of tertian malaria in the federal state of Lower Saxony (pre-study) and for whole Germany (main-study) by means of geostatistics for past (1947-2007) and future periods. Projections based on predicted monthly mean air temperature data derived from the IPCC and regionally discriminated by two regional climate models (REMO, WettReg) for the countrywide study. The transmitted parasites usually benefit from increased temperatures as both their reproductive and development cycles are accelerated. The resulting maps show that the seasonal transmission gate may be extended from an average of 3 months under present temperature conditions to up to 6 months in the climate reference period 2051-2080. Although models described in this book do not integrate such other driving factors as the distribution of water bodies serving as breeding habitats, or population density, the findings illuminated here could prove useful for establishing a monitoring scheme and for investigation and assessment of related diseases caused by temperature-dependent vectors and pathogens, including many which are dangerous for livestock.
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Environmental sciences.
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Medical parasitology.
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Life sciences.
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Epidemiology.
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Climatic changes.
650 14 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Environment.
650 24 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Climate Change.
650 24 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Climate Change Impacts.
650 24 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Parasitology.
650 24 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Epidemiology.
650 24 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Biogeosciences.
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Schmidt, Gunther.
Relator term author.
710 2# - ADDED ENTRY--CORPORATE NAME
Corporate name or jurisdiction name as entry element SpringerLink (Online service)
773 0# - HOST ITEM ENTRY
Title Springer eBooks
776 08 - ADDITIONAL PHYSICAL FORM ENTRY
Display text Printed edition:
International Standard Book Number 9783319038223
830 #0 - SERIES ADDED ENTRY--UNIFORM TITLE
Uniform title SpringerBriefs in Environmental Science,
-- 2191-5547
856 40 - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Uniform Resource Identifier http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-03823-0
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